pabon
0x61ee455e5da4a8ca06588a728a5548ce758c932c
- Realised P&L
- $-12.8k
- Volume
- $735.1k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $9.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.1kat 0.486US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$10.2kat 0.463Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
- +$10.1kat 0.601US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$3.9kat 0.596Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
- +$3.5kat 0.700US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 08:08 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.1 | $468.62 |
| 08-07 08:06 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.4399999508 | $895.07 |
| 08-03 13:58 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in August? | BUY | 0.6 | $300.00 |
| 08-03 13:58 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in August? | BUY | 0.5996723024 | $309.99 |
| 08-03 13:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.5530185452 | $1.8k |
| 08-03 07:22 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $196.42 |
| 07-24 10:24 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July? | BUY | 0.8591128971 | $2.1k |
| 07-24 10:23 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July? | BUY | 0.5361789346 | $1.2k |
| 07-22 07:13 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.1299162951 | $677.95 |
| 07-15 08:53 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July? | BUY | 0.6850375803 | $679.93 |
| 07-15 08:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July? | BUY | 0.67 | $335.00 |
| 07-15 08:03 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.2k |
| 07-15 08:02 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.493 | $591.60 |
| 07-15 08:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4576084052 | $1.1k |
| 07-15 07:57 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July? | BUY | 0.8519753086 | $345.05 |