PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pabon

0x61ee455e5da4a8ca06588a728a5548ce758c932c

Realised P&L
$-13.7k
Volume
$753.5k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1630.035$759.00−$2.8k
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.1100.021$716.03−$3.1k
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · Yes0.4730.060$328.77−$2.2k
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$216.00
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? · $60k0.6550.000$0.00−$22.2k
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$152.00
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? · No0.5570.000$0.00−$3.8k
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3570.000$0.00−$4.1k
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$144.00
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00−$102.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? · Yes0.4350.000$0.00−$11.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-17 06:29Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.1178243946$827.59
08-17 06:29Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?BUY0.5886382685$990.25
08-07 08:08Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.1$468.62
08-07 08:06Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?BUY0.4399999508$895.07
08-03 13:58Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in August?BUY0.6$300.00
08-03 13:58Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in August?BUY0.5996723024$309.99
08-03 13:56Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?BUY0.5530185452$1.8k
08-03 07:22Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.45$196.42
07-24 10:24Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?BUY0.8591128971$2.1k
07-24 10:23Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?BUY0.5361789346$1.2k
07-22 07:13Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.1299162951$677.95
07-15 08:53Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?BUY0.6850375803$679.93
07-15 08:05Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?BUY0.67$335.00
07-15 08:03Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?BUY0.87$1.2k
07-15 08:02Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.493$591.60