NickZah
0x61e97a15322de75a8d383e6b7b257e4bd8a68918
- Realised P&L
- $8.07
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.982 | 0.989 | $602.89 | +$3.94 |
| Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026? · No | 0.982 | 0.974 | $487.29 | −$4.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.07at 0.992Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 20:32 | Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9823224141 | $491.45 |
| 09-24 06:12 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9819999994 | $589.02 |
| 09-22 13:16 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9839999992 | $9.93 |
| 06-05 20:14 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9919999991 | $1000.00 |