txwd9991
0x61e89ebf0dce17d7ed7c9eb013f4fe1eed0cb283
- Realised P&L
- $-33.0k
- Volume
- $491.5k
- Markets traded
- 229
- Open portfolio
- $4.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded229
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) · Pacers | 0.497 | 0.495 | $932.80 | −$3.13 |
| Spread: Lakers (-6.5) · Lakers | 0.510 | 0.515 | $758.29 | +$7.36 |
| Spread: Clippers (-5.5) · Kings | 0.520 | 0.505 | $659.71 | −$19.60 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) · Jazz | 0.490 | 0.495 | $603.30 | +$6.09 |
| Spread: Clippers (-4.5) · Kings | 0.480 | 0.475 | $572.96 | −$6.03 |
| Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 239.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.485 | $526.53 | +$5.43 |
| Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.475 | $456.00 | −$4.80 |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) · 76ers | 0.518 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$520.70 |
| Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.501 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.4k |
| Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$228.05 |
| Spread: Lakers (-13.5) · Jazz | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$138.20 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) · Cavaliers | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Spread: Nets (-3.5) · Wizards | 0.505 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 178.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$548.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.469Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
- +$2.7kat 0.430Spread: 76ers (-15.5)
- +$2.6kat 0.470Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)
- +$2.5kat 0.480Knicks vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5
- +$2.5kat 0.480Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 19:20 | Spread: Lakers (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $550.49 |
| 10-21 18:06 | Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $460.80 |
| 10-21 17:40 | Spread: Pacers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $628.16 |
| 10-21 16:56 | Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $597.20 |
| 10-21 16:13 | Spread: Clippers (-5.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $679.30 |
| 09-12 12:40 | Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $299.40 |
| 09-06 02:35 | Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.58 | $414.60 |
| 08-30 18:35 | AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $258.20 |
| 06-10 03:20 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5 | BUY | 0.75 | $6.00 |
| 06-09 18:49 | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | BUY | 0.39 | $239.90 |
| 06-09 15:46 | Spread: Hungary (-1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $92.20 |
| 06-09 15:37 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $286.40 |
| 06-09 03:41 | Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 161.5 | BUY | 0.95 | $190.00 |
| 06-09 03:27 | Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 161.5 | BUY | 0.95 | $190.00 |
| 06-09 03:26 | Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 160.5 | BUY | 0.95 | $188.99 |