pgorda69
0x61e51af786898e4e34cdccd5817346292a8e2e01
- Realised P&L
- $-599.71
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $15.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.146 | $15.08 | +$0.32 |
| OpenAI browser in 2025? · No | 0.317 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$136.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.62at 0.609Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?
- +$12.40at 0.880Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$11.37at 0.440Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
- +$10.90at 0.893Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?
- +$4.50at 0.300Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 07:28 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.1433959714 | $14.76 |
| 10-26 16:27 | Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | SELL | 0.4462525528 | $13.11 |
| 09-12 14:02 | OpenAI browser in 2025? | BUY | 0.32 | $102.40 |
| 09-12 11:24 | OpenAI browser in 2025? | BUY | 0.31 | $28.07 |
| 08-30 20:22 | Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | BUY | 0.58 | $7.54 |
| 08-30 20:21 | Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | BUY | 0.57 | $9.34 |
| 08-30 20:19 | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025? | SELL | 0.8758823529 | $148.90 |
| 08-29 06:17 | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025? | BUY | 0.91 | $154.70 |
| 07-15 21:08 | Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31? | SELL | 0.972 | $159.62 |
| 07-10 20:47 | Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31? | BUY | 0.6089391007 | $100.00 |
| 07-03 15:54 | Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4? | BUY | 0.8929999997 | $90.99 |
| 07-03 15:54 | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | SELL | 0.91 | $90.56 |
| 07-01 22:00 | Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025? | BUY | 0.59 | $4.13 |
| 06-30 18:58 | Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025? | BUY | 0.9 | $54.00 |
| 06-30 06:08 | Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025? | BUY | 0.9 | $450.00 |