0x61E4C2Fd1078a4C23e555E53E780EFdf0E4dfb60-1767958545474
0x61e4c2fd1078a4c23e555e53e780efdf0e4dfb60
- Realised P&L
- $2.8k
- Volume
- $191.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,143
- Open portfolio
- $15.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,143
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.380 | 1.000 | $15.00 | +$9.30 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.55 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? · No | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.74 |
| Türkiye vs. France: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.99 |
| Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 2 France? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) · Vitality | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$135.99 |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmic · Dino Prizmic | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.60 |
| Norway vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.20 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? · No | 0.244 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.96 |
| France leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.518Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5
- +$974.52at 0.662Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
- +$794.11at 0.078Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
- +$760.25at 0.754US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$455.00at 0.870Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 10:27 | Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 05-12 19:11 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.052 | $0.26 |
| 05-12 19:11 | Trump out as President before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 05-12 10:17 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmic | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 05-10 22:21 | Spurs vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.65 | $97.50 |
| 05-10 22:21 | Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 05-10 22:20 | Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 05-10 22:19 | Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 05-10 22:13 | Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 05-10 15:23 | West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $16.50 |
| 05-10 15:22 | Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.65 | $45.50 |
| 05-10 15:20 | FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 05-10 15:19 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.79 |
| 05-10 15:17 | 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $34.00 |
| 05-10 15:17 | Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-10? | BUY | 0.54 | $27.00 |