PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

LCN99

0x61e0cb043c88e34d1502139a682c75d286284b62

Realised P&L
$-49.8k
Volume
$3.73M
Markets traded
1,168
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,168
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6600.835$619.93+$129.93
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.4850.420$512.18−$79.35
Kentucky vs. South Carolina · South Carolina0.5400.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2340.000$0.00−$800.00
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever · Indiana Fever0.5100.000$0.00−$200.00
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 · TheMongolz0.7900.000$0.00−$50.00
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels · Texas Rangers0.3900.000$0.00−$10.00
Antalya 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela · Lucia Bronzetti0.7090.000$0.00−$50.00
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels · Los Angeles Angels0.8000.000$0.00−$50.00
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels · Los Angeles Angels0.8500.000$0.00−$600.00
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00−$420.00
Hawks vs. Knicks · Knicks0.6960.000$0.00−$100.00
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins · Kansas City Royals0.8400.000$0.00−$200.00
Houston Astros vs. San Francisco Giants · Houston Astros0.6500.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 00:44Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.42$2.10
10-11 15:47Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.4499999994$200.00
10-11 05:05Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4416397591$200.00
10-11 00:59Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4299999991$100.00
10-10 12:24Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.6087824331$100.00
10-10 10:32China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise MertensBUY0.6$900.00
10-10 08:37Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Yue Yuan vs Caty McNallyBUY0.785$81.64
10-10 03:19Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas AcesBUY0.7$50.00
10-10 01:48Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.6$60.00
10-09 13:49Rockets vs. MavericksSELL0.8871745277$3.6k
10-09 12:30Rockets vs. MavericksBUY0.6821346652$300.00
10-09 12:21Rockets vs. MavericksBUY0.75$750.00
10-09 12:19Rockets vs. MavericksBUY0.7452270443$1000.00
10-09 12:11Rockets vs. MavericksBUY0.5799999992$300.00
10-09 08:29Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.84$649.08