0x61d836CB6227f289305DF07405E1d79c93D2e383-1773431962632
0x61d836cb6227f289305df07405e1d79c93d2e383
- Realised P&L
- $1.81
- Volume
- $26.1k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $14.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on September 30? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $14.93 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.86at 0.992Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$0.32at 0.985Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$0.22at 0.978Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.19at 0.991Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on March 1?
- +$0.06at 0.994Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 07-13 04:25 | Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $3.64 |
| 07-03 07:45 | Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.04 |
| 06-22 07:01 | Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.52 |
| 05-16 02:54 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.48 |
| 04-25 04:42 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.18 |
| 04-23 09:14 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.72 |
| 04-22 09:42 | Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $9.80 |
| 04-21 09:38 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.08 |
| 04-20 02:53 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.84 |
| 03-18 04:06 | Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.995 | $617.89 |
| 02-11 23:46 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9849999638 | $20.94 |