PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x61d836CB6227f289305DF07405E1d79c93D2e383-1773431962632

0x61d836cb6227f289305df07405e1d79c93d2e383

Realised P&L
$1.81
Volume
$26.1k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$14.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration67.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on September 30? · No0.9990.995$14.93−$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 05:59Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on September 30?BUY0.999$14.98
07-13 04:25Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.002$3.64
07-03 07:45Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.004$8.04
06-22 07:01Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.008$9.52
05-16 02:54Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.006$9.48
04-25 04:42Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.009$9.18
04-23 09:14Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.009$9.72
04-22 09:42Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.01$9.80
04-21 09:38Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.007$10.08
04-20 02:53Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$9.84
03-18 04:06Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.995$617.89
02-11 23:46Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.9849999638$20.94