Ripper4
0x61d10d2f1f81bb6c4505d732edf696e7c3ff08c2
- Realised P&L
- $-470.26
- Volume
- $119.3k
- Markets traded
- 341
- Open portfolio
- $36.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded341
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.24at 0.580US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$5.21at 0.167Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on April 30?
- +$2.28at 0.484Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 1?
- +$1.47at 0.405Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
- +$1.24at 0.452Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 11:47 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.74 |
| 09-16 08:23 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.10 |
| 08-21 04:43 | Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0067543315 | $5.00 |
| 08-19 19:50 | Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? | BUY | 0.1339998941 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 19:49 | Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.00 |
| 08-19 19:48 | Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 10:18 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999736 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 10:17 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999736 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 10:17 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999797 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 09:41 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0599999788 | $2.60 |
| 08-01 09:41 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 09:40 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0276987402 | $40.00 |
| 08-01 09:39 | Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.002 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 09:38 | Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.002 | $7.00 |
| 07-30 06:42 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0199528302 | $4.23 |