15164468161463
0x61cac49ffb95c51523eac409b676f554cd496352
- Realised P&L
- $10.49
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $11.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.43at 0.114Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$15.09at 0.117Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
- +$14.00at 0.631Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$11.91at 0.412Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
- +$7.98at 0.411Will England win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 14:34 | Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999881 | $9.28 |
| 09-13 14:33 | Will T1 win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.2485465116 | $10.26 |
| 08-28 18:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 18:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.1699999702 | $4.00 |
| 08-28 18:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0187038249 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 17:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 17:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 17:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 17:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999579 | $4.00 |
| 08-28 17:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 17:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.209999959 | $4.00 |
| 08-28 17:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $2.43 |
| 08-28 17:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 08-28 17:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999804 | $8.00 |