PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

15164468161463

0x61cac49ffb95c51523eac409b676f554cd496352

Realised P&L
$10.49
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$11.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.2480.175$7.22$3.04
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.4100.180$4.07$5.21
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5750.000$0.00$2.88
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$6.83
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$2.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET · Down0.0740.000$0.00$6.00
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$3.07
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$2.26
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$11.25
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$3.23
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Up0.0190.000$0.00$1.00
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$6.12
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway0.3420.000$0.00$4.11
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 14:34Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?BUY0.4099999881$9.28
09-13 14:33Will T1 win Worlds 2026?BUY0.2485465116$10.26
08-28 18:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.0299999712$1.00
08-28 18:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.1699999702$4.00
08-28 18:04Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
08-28 17:59Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.0187038249$1.00
08-28 17:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.059999946$1.00
08-28 17:47Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETBUY0.02$1.00
08-28 17:46Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETBUY0.059999946$1.00
08-28 17:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETBUY0.2899999579$4.00
08-28 17:44Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETBUY0.01$2.00
08-28 17:44Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETBUY0.209999959$4.00
08-28 17:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETBUY0.03$2.43
08-28 17:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETBUY0.08$8.00
08-28 17:30Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.2799999804$8.00