PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x61c41271d1561dd4A288cD8B5D747290bff57696-1767665174644

0x61c41271d1561dd4a288cd8b5d747290bff57696

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$11.1k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$24.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 24? · Yes0.9000.940$10.44+$0.44
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? · No0.5300.555$5.24+$0.24
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes0.7500.695$3.71$0.29
Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 18? · No0.7900.475$3.01$1.99
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes0.2200.285$1.94+$0.44
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$2.00
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.8060.000$0.00$325.22
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 4? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 12? · No0.9400.000$0.00$1.16
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 24? · Yes0.6020.000$0.00$49.74
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 4? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 20? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$30.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 23? · Yes0.3880.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 03:00Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 24?BUY0.9$10.00
09-18 02:17Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.2199999941$1.50
09-18 02:17Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.75$4.00
09-18 01:56Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5299999587$5.00
09-18 01:55Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 18?BUY0.7899999905$5.00
09-18 01:53Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.7$4.38
09-15 12:27Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8799999965$20.00
07-20 03:06Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?BUY0.2799999515$3.00
07-20 02:44Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9589999992$5.00
07-15 01:40Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.91$2.84
07-15 01:40Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.581999959$4.00
07-14 06:57US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?SELL0.22$1.64
07-14 06:56Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3899998908$2.00
07-14 06:56Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.64$2.00
07-13 08:11Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.64$4.00