0x61c41271d1561dd4A288cD8B5D747290bff57696-1767665174644
0x61c41271d1561dd4a288cd8b5d747290bff57696
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $24.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$200.25at 0.666Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 23?
- +$110.00at 0.703Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 22?
- +$74.06at 0.390Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 20?
- +$61.15at 0.716Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
- +$26.89at 0.240Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 03:00 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 24? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 02:17 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999941 | $1.50 |
| 09-18 02:17 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.00 |
| 09-18 01:56 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 01:55 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 18? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 01:53 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $4.38 |
| 09-15 12:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 03:06 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999515 | $3.00 |
| 07-20 02:44 | Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9589999992 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 01:40 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.91 | $2.84 |
| 07-15 01:40 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.581999959 | $4.00 |
| 07-14 06:57 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.64 |
| 07-14 06:56 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 06:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 07-13 08:11 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.00 |