PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

1235788401

0x61c0613c1585931b898518182ada937d0a59aa93

Realised P&L
$-93.89
Volume
$26.1k
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$70.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on October 11? · No0.9990.997$63.84−$0.16
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9630.992$4.54+$0.13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8700.971$1.38+$0.14
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9630.987$1.08+$0.03
Solana Up or Down on May 14? · Down0.4350.000$0.00−$44.00
Jazz vs. Magic · Jazz0.5900.000$0.00−$10.00
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina · Sabalenka0.6000.000$0.00−$12.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 06:19Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on October 11?BUY0.999$64.00
09-12 02:44Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.997$63.00
08-21 03:12Will Mistral be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.999$11.00
08-21 03:12Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?BUY0.996$10.00
08-21 03:09Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.999$20.37
08-10 06:14Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.9969999793$21.00
08-10 06:14Will Baidu be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.999$21.00
08-10 06:13Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.999$21.00
07-18 06:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 21?BUY0.999$10.00
07-18 06:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 20?BUY0.998$10.00
07-18 06:30Will Bitcoin dip to $48,000 July 13-19?SELL0.999$9.78
07-18 06:30Will Solana dip to $10 in July?SELL0.999$8.79
07-14 06:00Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 July 13-19?BUY0.999$12.00
07-14 05:59Will Bitcoin dip to $48,000 July 13-19?BUY0.999$11.00
07-14 05:59Will Solana dip to $10 in July?BUY0.999$10.00