1235788401
0x61c0613c1585931b898518182ada937d0a59aa93
- Realised P&L
- $-93.89
- Volume
- $26.1k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $70.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on October 11? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $63.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.963 | 0.992 | $4.54 | +$0.13 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.870 | 0.971 | $1.38 | +$0.14 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.963 | 0.987 | $1.08 | +$0.03 |
| Solana Up or Down on May 14? · Down | 0.435 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.00 |
| Jazz vs. Magic · Jazz | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina · Sabalenka | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.17at 0.700Spurs vs. Pacers
- +$7.57at 0.670Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs megoshort (BO3)
- +$7.33at 0.750Flames vs. Blackhawks
- +$5.65at 0.680Thunder vs. Timberwolves
- +$5.56at 0.660Magic vs. Cavaliers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 06:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $64.00 |
| 09-12 02:44 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $63.00 |
| 08-21 03:12 | Will Mistral be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 08-21 03:12 | Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 03:09 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $20.37 |
| 08-10 06:14 | Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9969999793 | $21.00 |
| 08-10 06:14 | Will Baidu be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.00 |
| 08-10 06:13 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.00 |
| 07-18 06:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 06:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 06:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $48,000 July 13-19? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.78 |
| 07-18 06:30 | Will Solana dip to $10 in July? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.79 |
| 07-14 06:00 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.00 |
| 07-14 05:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $48,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 07-14 05:59 | Will Solana dip to $10 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |