0x61bb8B763d1A8b93F22100Dd6013996F56F8192F-1766822230318
0x61bb8b763d1a8b93f22100dd6013996f56f8192f
- Realised P&L
- $-240.90
- Volume
- $8.8k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $3.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.08at 0.065Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
- +$38.11at 0.440Cavaliers vs. Spurs
- +$10.71at 0.768Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$10.15at 0.330Celtics vs. Trail Blazers
- +$3.66at 0.983Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 22:42 | Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.2835615797 | $93.21 |
| 04-24 04:09 | Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.1327784076 | $6.84 |
| 04-24 04:08 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $6.84 |
| 01-02 21:31 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $45.48 |
| 01-02 21:30 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.33 | $150.71 |
| 12-31 03:15 | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | SELL | 0.995 | $303.65 |
| 12-30 05:23 | Utah Utes vs. Washington Huskies | SELL | 0.110642978 | $30.73 |
| 12-30 05:16 | Utah Utes vs. Washington Huskies | BUY | 0.1799999976 | $50.00 |
| 12-30 04:58 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 12-30 04:30 | Cavaliers vs. Spurs | SELL | 0.999 | $68.11 |
| 12-29 21:58 | Lighter Airdrop on December 31? | SELL | 0.1329121459 | $5.54 |
| 12-29 21:47 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $100.00 |
| 12-29 21:41 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | SELL | 0.85 | $110.71 |
| 12-29 21:11 | Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.0199787495 | $6.00 |
| 12-29 21:04 | Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people? | BUY | 0.0194496475 | $20.00 |