0x61b9e954877801cb69951b0816dd252a2974c617
- Realised P&L
- $-881.20
- Volume
- $22.1k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $354.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.77at 0.170Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$32.20at 0.100Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$27.34at 0.070Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$-32.00at 0.180Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
- +$-1.1kat 0.204Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-29 20:13 | Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 03-29 20:12 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1609999974 | $50.00 |
| 03-14 05:37 | Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1087788469 | $50.00 |
| 03-13 18:59 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0357328041 | $10.00 |
| 03-13 17:13 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.0628483551 | $5.00 |
| 03-13 17:11 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 03-03 19:53 | Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 03-03 19:53 | Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 03-03 19:52 | Kash Patel out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0266889336 | $10.00 |
| 03-03 19:51 | Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 03-03 19:47 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 03-03 19:46 | US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 03-03 19:45 | Anthropic CEO arrested? | BUY | 0.0511978964 | $15.00 |
| 02-28 19:49 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 02-28 19:48 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $78.20 |