PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x61b9e954877801cb69951b0816dd252a2974c617

Realised P&L
$-881.20
Volume
$22.1k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$354.82

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0361.000$279.85+$269.86
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1090.130$59.75+$9.75
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0500.097$9.65+$4.65
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? · Yes0.1000.070$3.50$1.50
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? · Yes0.0700.021$1.54$3.46
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1100.011$0.52$4.48
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$50.00
US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$5.00
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$30.00
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00$5.00
Anthropic CEO arrested? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$15.00
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$50.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$5.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$5.00
Kash Patel out by March 31? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-29 20:13Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.1$50.00
03-29 20:12US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.1609999974$50.00
03-14 05:37Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1087788469$50.00
03-13 18:59MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0357328041$10.00
03-13 17:13Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?BUY0.0628483551$5.00
03-13 17:11Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.05$5.00
03-03 19:53Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
03-03 19:53 Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
03-03 19:52Kash Patel out by March 31?BUY0.0266889336$10.00
03-03 19:51Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?BUY0.1$5.00
03-03 19:47Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
03-03 19:46US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
03-03 19:45Anthropic CEO arrested?BUY0.0511978964$15.00
02-28 19:49Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.04$5.00
02-28 19:48Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.17$78.20