PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x61aca9f3f54C42dF9459c3B73bb505d266404781-1723306703126

0x61aca9f3f54c42df9459c3b73bb505d266404781

Realised P&L
$-59.2k
Volume
$4.07M
Markets traded
3,995
Open portfolio
$336.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,995
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5? · Yes0.3900.495$198.00+$42.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5? · Yes0.1160.035$138.00−$326.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET · Down0.4470.000$0.00−$446.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Down0.5400.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin above 77,400 on September 10, 10AM ET? · Yes0.1280.000$0.00−$20.00
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 · Over0.1300.000$0.00−$260.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10PM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00−$20.00
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET · Up0.2220.000$0.00−$110.76
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET · Up0.3740.000$0.00−$274.96
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Up0.3760.000$0.00−$156.57
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Down0.2790.000$0.00−$70.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET · Down0.0210.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Up0.3770.000$0.00−$3.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Up0.1350.000$0.00−$54.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 04:32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5?BUY0.39$156.00
10-05 04:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12AM ETBUY0.11$35.86
10-05 03:11Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11PM ETBUY0.41$82.00
10-05 02:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10PM ETBUY0.2337336231$185.00
10-04 00:24Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8PM ETBUY0.1455179165$61.69
10-02 05:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETBUY0.49$24.50
10-02 05:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETBUY0.07$14.00
10-02 05:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ETBUY0.4012005$80.24
10-02 04:49Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETBUY0.45$135.00
10-02 04:47Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETBUY0.575278$115.06
10-02 04:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2?BUY0.06$26.10
10-02 04:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2?BUY0.12$180.00
10-01 15:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1?BUY0.07$70.00
09-30 16:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1?BUY0.018$11.72
09-30 15:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11AM ETBUY0.4076357115$100.00