0x61aca9f3f54C42dF9459c3B73bb505d266404781-1723306703126
0x61aca9f3f54c42df9459c3b73bb505d266404781
- Realised P&L
- $-59.2k
- Volume
- $4.07M
- Markets traded
- 3,995
- Open portfolio
- $336.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,995
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.325Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
- +$3.8kat 0.028Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 2 United States?
- +$3.7kat 0.050Paraguay leading at halftime?
- +$3.3kat 0.454Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$3.0kat 0.396Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 04:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.39 | $156.00 |
| 10-05 04:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.11 | $35.86 |
| 10-05 03:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.41 | $82.00 |
| 10-05 02:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.2337336231 | $185.00 |
| 10-04 00:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.1455179165 | $61.69 |
| 10-02 05:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $24.50 |
| 10-02 05:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.07 | $14.00 |
| 10-02 05:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.4012005 | $80.24 |
| 10-02 04:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $135.00 |
| 10-02 04:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BUY | 0.575278 | $115.06 |
| 10-02 04:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.06 | $26.10 |
| 10-02 04:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.12 | $180.00 |
| 10-01 15:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 09-30 16:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.018 | $11.72 |
| 09-30 15:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.4076357115 | $100.00 |