bearbills1
0x61a7b9f8a53fb48124a8bcade18748612d8ff4d1
- Realised P&L
- $-422.33
- Volume
- $34.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,177
- Open portfolio
- $28.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,177
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.24at 0.072Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on September 4?
- +$35.50at 0.357Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 3?
- +$28.66at 0.075Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 5?
- +$23.99at 0.677Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 13?
- +$19.43at 0.437Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 13:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.99 |
| 09-28 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.99 |
| 09-28 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.0032085867 | $0.60 |
| 09-28 04:40 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.19 |
| 09-28 04:28 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.99 |
| 09-28 02:14 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 28? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.88 |
| 09-27 13:03 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.99 |
| 09-27 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.993 | $0.18 |
| 09-27 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.993 | $4.96 |
| 09-27 12:52 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.99 |
| 09-27 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.99 |
| 09-27 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.99 |
| 09-27 01:25 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.98 |
| 09-26 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.99 |
| 09-26 13:34 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |