PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bearbills1

0x61a7b9f8a53fb48124a8bcade18748612d8ff4d1

Realised P&L
$-422.33
Volume
$34.2k
Markets traded
1,177
Open portfolio
$28.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,177
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on September 28? · No0.9801.000$5.00+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 29? · No0.9930.998$4.99+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 28? · Yes0.9201.000$2.04+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on September 28? · No0.9951.000$2.00+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on September 28? · No0.9951.000$2.00+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 28? · No0.9981.000$2.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 29? · No0.9950.999$2.00+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on September 29? · No0.9950.999$2.00+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on September 29? · No0.9950.997$1.99+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 30? · No0.9950.995$1.99−$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on September 30? · No0.9950.993$1.99−$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 28? · Yes0.0020.001$0.32−$1.22
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 28? · Yes0.0030.001$0.09−$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 13? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$0.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 6? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$1.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 13:05Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 30?BUY0.995$1.99
09-28 12:44Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on September 30?BUY0.995$1.99
09-28 06:01Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 28?BUY0.0032085867$0.60
09-28 04:40Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 28?BUY0.001$0.19
09-28 04:28Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on September 29?BUY0.995$1.99
09-28 02:14Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 28?BUY0.92$1.88
09-27 13:03Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 29?BUY0.995$1.99
09-27 13:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on September 29?BUY0.993$0.18
09-27 12:59Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 29?BUY0.993$4.96
09-27 12:52Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on September 29?BUY0.995$1.99
09-27 05:15Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on September 28?BUY0.995$1.99
09-27 05:12Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on September 28?BUY0.995$1.99
09-27 01:25Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 27?BUY0.99$1.98
09-26 15:19Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 27?BUY0.995$1.99
09-26 13:34Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on September 28?BUY0.98$4.90