0x61a6339d1d9A73Dbe9daA9CcAC242459AcF9A2b2-1773431695032
0x61a6339d1d9a73dbe9daa9ccac242459acf9a2b2
- Realised P&L
- $-1.62
- Volume
- $27.8k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $24.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29? · Yes | 0.994 | 0.996 | $24.90 | +$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.14at 0.993Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on April 7?
- +$0.11at 0.992Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 9?
- +$0.04at 0.996Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 17?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 14?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.994 | $24.85 |
| 07-06 07:09 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $5.97 |
| 06-29 07:21 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.96 |
| 06-22 06:48 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.16 |
| 05-15 08:24 | Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.54 |
| 05-11 04:25 | Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.06 |
| 04-15 05:17 | Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $9.80 |
| 04-11 05:45 | Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.84 |
| 04-09 09:09 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $1.27 |
| 03-18 07:15 | Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.975 | $619.13 |