LaBefana
0x61a33a46d8c9b135725cebd9850b88310c13b1e5
- Realised P&L
- $-6.1k
- Volume
- $1.19M
- Markets traded
- 866
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded866
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.338US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
- +$818.89at 0.261Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?
- +$449.92at 0.103U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
- +$406.00at 0.089Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-20?
- +$292.54at 0.170Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 21:17 | Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena | BUY | 0.0599999998 | $5.68 |
| 09-26 21:15 | Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena | BUY | 0.09 | $120.00 |
| 09-26 21:13 | Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena | BUY | 0.16 | $6.40 |
| 09-05 11:26 | Will South Africa win in regulation? | BUY | 0.7392750059 | $101.97 |
| 09-05 11:24 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.142 | $4.06 |
| 09-05 11:24 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.61 |
| 09-05 11:24 | Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.03275 | $3.28 |
| 09-05 11:23 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0299470199 | $13.75 |
| 09-05 11:23 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.034 | $40.80 |
| 09-05 11:23 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.038 | $42.27 |
| 09-05 10:41 | Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic | BUY | 0.3799999989 | $156.11 |
| 01-26 17:22 | Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.00 |
| 01-26 17:19 | Warriors vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.2999999925 | $20.00 |
| 01-26 17:08 | Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 01-26 17:05 | Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-30? | BUY | 0.2252340345 | $10.00 |