PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LaBefana

0x61a33a46d8c9b135725cebd9850b88310c13b1e5

Realised P&L
$-6.1k
Volume
$1.19M
Markets traded
866
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded866
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hikari win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Player 194 win Beast Games: Season 2? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-01-20? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Solana dip to $120 January 12-18? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.00
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23? · No0.1000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of January? · No0.0440.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Emily Blunt win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$19.99
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$3.00
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs · Team Liquid0.6000.000$0.00−$60.00
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-01-18? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$300.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-01-18? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$50.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00−$31.00
Will Player 58 win Beast Games: Season 2? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 21:17Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex BarrenaBUY0.0599999998$5.68
09-26 21:15Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex BarrenaBUY0.09$120.00
09-26 21:13Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex BarrenaBUY0.16$6.40
09-05 11:26Will South Africa win in regulation?BUY0.7392750059$101.97
09-05 11:24Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.142$4.06
09-05 11:24Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.017$0.61
09-05 11:24Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?SELL0.03275$3.28
09-05 11:23Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.0299470199$13.75
09-05 11:23Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.034$40.80
09-05 11:23Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.038$42.27
09-05 10:41Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan ObradovicBUY0.3799999989$156.11
01-26 17:22Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?BUY0.016$1.00
01-26 17:19Warriors vs. TimberwolvesBUY0.2999999925$20.00
01-26 17:08Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?BUY0.16$10.00
01-26 17:05Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-30?BUY0.2252340345$10.00