0x619DEB9580775270bb75B685BE633811fE7975c0-1770765218681
0x619deb9580775270bb75b685be633811fe7975c0
- Realised P&L
- $-32.21
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $17.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.064 | $6.92 | −$3.07 |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? · Yes | 0.151 | 0.066 | $4.33 | −$5.67 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes | 0.387 | 0.165 | $4.27 | −$5.73 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.029 | $1.54 | −$0.96 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.23 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.46at 0.130Will Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?
- +$13.71at 0.260Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$11.13at 0.310UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$6.93at 0.419Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?
- +$6.68at 0.417UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 02:01 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.0469999824 | $2.50 |
| 06-02 01:58 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0959999741 | $3.23 |
| 05-18 09:17 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0119999976 | $5.00 |
| 05-13 08:39 | UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4099999712 | $4.70 |
| 04-30 03:17 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? | BUY | 0.5799999716 | $5.72 |
| 04-30 03:17 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 03:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | BUY | 0.0170412023 | $20.00 |
| 03-11 14:46 | Yoon out of custody before 2027? | BUY | 0.151421622 | $10.00 |
| 03-11 14:45 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.0916958371 | $10.00 |
| 03-11 14:43 | Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0338645355 | $5.00 |
| 03-11 14:42 | Will Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 03-11 14:42 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11? | BUY | 0.4190007317 | $5.00 |
| 02-28 22:12 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | BUY | 0.3867924371 | $10.00 |
| 02-28 22:11 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.973 | $18.71 |
| 02-22 00:10 | UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |