PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x619DEB9580775270bb75B685BE633811fE7975c0-1770765218681

0x619deb9580775270bb75b685be633811fe7975c0

Realised P&L
$-32.21
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$17.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · Yes0.0920.064$6.92$3.07
Yoon out of custody before 2027? · Yes0.1510.066$4.33$5.67
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes0.3870.165$4.27$5.73
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · Yes0.0470.029$1.54$0.96
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$5.00
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$20.00
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$9.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00$3.23
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00$16.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-02 02:01Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.0469999824$2.50
06-02 01:58Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0959999741$3.23
05-18 09:17Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0119999976$5.00
05-13 08:39UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY0.4099999712$4.70
04-30 03:17Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?BUY0.5799999716$5.72
04-30 03:17Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
04-30 03:15Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?BUY0.0170412023$20.00
03-11 14:46Yoon out of custody before 2027?BUY0.151421622$10.00
03-11 14:45Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?BUY0.0916958371$10.00
03-11 14:43Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?BUY0.0338645355$5.00
03-11 14:42Will Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
03-11 14:42Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?BUY0.4190007317$5.00
02-28 22:12Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?BUY0.3867924371$10.00
02-28 22:11Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.973$18.71
02-22 00:10UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY0.32$5.00