00oo000
0x619a8a4ff034a3159223f7ff23644ad76cf0079d
- Realised P&L
- $26.76
- Volume
- $70.8k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $86.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.996 | 0.995 | $32.84 | −$0.03 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.590 | $29.50 | +$0.00 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.962 | 0.989 | $12.85 | +$0.34 |
| Will Ethereum hit $3k by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.565 | $11.30 | +$0.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 20-26? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.85 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · No | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Down | 0.201 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Up | 0.569 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.04at 0.580Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$6.75at 0.610Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
- +$6.25at 0.450Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$6.14at 0.685Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$6.00at 0.994Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 17:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $32.87 |
| 10-31 17:33 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 10-31 17:32 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.59 | $29.50 |
| 06-02 16:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.98 |
| 06-02 16:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? | BUY | 0.977 | $11.72 |
| 06-02 16:52 | Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $32.87 |
| 06-02 16:52 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in June? | BUY | 0.99 | $54.45 |
| 05-06 07:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $32.90 |
| 05-06 07:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.996 | $946.20 |
| 05-06 07:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $18.86 |
| 04-23 15:37 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.99 | $109.89 |
| 04-02 18:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April? | BUY | 0.993 | $297.60 |
| 04-02 18:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | BUY | 0.995 | $546.86 |
| 04-02 18:42 | Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 04-02 18:42 | Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $32.93 |