darkbit
0x6197936a170ecca5889cf88d8c718bb769da5204
- Realised P&L
- $-21.70
- Volume
- $9.1k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $12.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.071 | $7.15 | −$2.85 |
| Will Greece win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.012 | $5.37 | −$14.63 |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Ripple ETF approved in 2025? · No | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| US government shutdown in 2025? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.82at 0.110Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$20.00at 0.200Will Barcelona win La Liga?
- +$20.00at 0.200Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
- +$8.89at 0.360Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?
- +$8.81at 0.143Arsenal wins the Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 13:12 | Will Greece win the UEFA EURO 2028? | BUY | 0.0446991302 | $20.00 |
| 08-21 13:11 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 12-08 19:58 | Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.034 | $20.00 |
| 12-08 19:57 | Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |
| 12-08 19:57 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.18 | $81.82 |
| 10-12 08:39 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.49 | $14.85 |
| 09-22 18:42 | US government shutdown in 2025? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 17:30 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 17:30 | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | SELL | 0.73 | $10.73 |
| 09-20 11:16 | Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 09:03 | Ripple ETF approved in 2025? | BUY | 0.0489236791 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 19:02 | Ripple ETF approved in 2025? | BUY | 0.0416810527 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 18:59 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.1099999982 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 16:59 | Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 15:55 | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |