koy9104
0x6192578e81044bd1106b1c8169b302166e9412dd
- Realised P&L
- $-7.4k
- Volume
- $150.5k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $16.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.406 | 0.845 | $16.5k | +$8.6k |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.130 | $5.20 | −$6.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.863Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$1.2kat 0.840Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$869.51at 0.900Will Trump visit China by May 15?
- +$435.20at 0.905Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?
- +$221.54at 0.810Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 11:45 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $2.96 |
| 09-21 22:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.47 | $5.0k |
| 09-18 11:56 | Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $12.00 |
| 09-15 12:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.4k |
| 08-28 14:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $317.40 |
| 07-21 21:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.82 | $528.23 |
| 07-21 14:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8771721628 | $222.91 |
| 07-06 22:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.4k |
| 07-02 22:15 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.6k |
| 06-06 22:48 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.982 | $5.7k |
| 06-01 23:01 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.979 | $1.6k |
| 06-01 23:01 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.979 | $1.3k |
| 04-16 22:05 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.12 | $190.31 |
| 04-15 22:44 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.1521058466 | $1.1k |
| 03-30 13:29 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.6k |