babag1
0x619051785a0ef3398519704753ebfddc559e5e11
- Realised P&L
- $-15.0k
- Volume
- $290.7k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $36.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.024 | $36.21 | −$97.00 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$597.18 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-885.41at 0.139Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
- +$-2.6kat 0.338Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 17:38 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.0282083617 | $798.69 |
| 09-07 17:38 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $19.25 |
| 06-11 13:47 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.0806908934 | $1.1k |
| 05-31 10:54 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.0858497531 | $580.75 |
| 05-31 10:54 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $375.82 |
| 05-24 22:57 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $500.00 |
| 05-23 18:15 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | SELL | 0.0789462489 | $690.31 |
| 05-23 09:47 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.1202471328 | $700.00 |
| 05-23 08:32 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $500.00 |
| 05-23 04:01 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $500.00 |
| 05-19 13:34 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999992 | $100.00 |
| 05-19 10:58 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999998 | $500.00 |
| 05-19 06:57 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0862388808 | $500.00 |
| 05-19 06:55 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 05-18 10:27 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |