PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

babag1

0x619051785a0ef3398519704753ebfddc559e5e11

Realised P&L
$-15.0k
Volume
$290.7k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$36.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0860.024$36.21−$97.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$597.18
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$1.0k
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00−$1.9k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 17:38Ebola pandemic in 2026?SELL0.0282083617$798.69
09-07 17:38Ebola pandemic in 2026?SELL0.02$19.25
06-11 13:47Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.0806908934$1.1k
05-31 10:54Ebola pandemic in 2026?SELL0.0858497531$580.75
05-31 10:54Ebola pandemic in 2026?SELL0.09$375.82
05-24 22:57Ebola pandemic in 2026?BUY0.08$500.00
05-23 18:15Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?SELL0.0789462489$690.31
05-23 09:47Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.1202471328$700.00
05-23 08:32Ebola pandemic in 2026?BUY0.08$500.00
05-23 04:01Ebola pandemic in 2026?BUY0.08$500.00
05-19 13:34Ebola pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0899999992$100.00
05-19 10:58Ebola pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0899999998$500.00
05-19 06:57Ebola pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0862388808$500.00
05-19 06:55Ebola pandemic in 2026?BUY0.08$100.00
05-18 10:27Ebola pandemic in 2026?BUY0.08$100.00