janetjensen
0x618f7d56b67237f6c52dc8ab06d33c3d4d75cb74
- Realised P&L
- $-4.78
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $6.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on September 28? · No | 0.995 | 1.000 | $1.85 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $1.77 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 18? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.33 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 27? · No | 0.993 | 1.000 | $1.21 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.28at 0.550Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
- +$0.08at 0.935Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 23?
- +$0.08at 0.316Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$0.03at 0.973Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?
- +$0.01at 0.990Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on February 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 13:11 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on September 28? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.84 |
| 07-02 13:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.77 |
| 06-26 22:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 27? | BUY | 0.9929999967 | $1.20 |
| 05-16 20:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.33 |
| 04-23 17:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on April 24? | BUY | 0.9989994738 | $1.31 |
| 03-02 09:55 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on March 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.96 |
| 02-23 07:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 23? | BUY | 0.9349999756 | $1.15 |
| 02-20 06:52 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on February 20? | BUY | 0.989999406 | $1.25 |
| 02-12 09:42 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.27 |
| 02-10 10:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.31 |
| 01-29 16:56 | Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.0k |
| 01-29 16:33 | Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.0k |
| 01-29 16:32 | Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.995 | $999.78 |
| 01-29 16:00 | Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.0k |
| 01-29 16:00 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $1.0k |