0x618ebf669f5f06ab17a27546f1921489980acc93
- Realised P&L
- $-0.99
- Volume
- $25.94
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $6.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.680 | 1.000 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.870 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.260 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.715 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.595 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.495 | $0.74 | −$0.26 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.140 | $0.23 | −$0.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.64at 0.610US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$0.55at 0.649SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11?
- +$0.40at 0.718Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.40at 0.718Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.37at 0.730US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 09:17 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 23:49 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 23:45 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 15:43 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 07:41 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 23:40 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 02:11 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:09 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 09:03 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 01:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 16:47 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 08:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 10:40 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 23:36 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 12:21 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |