GermanST
0x618dab2c8886f5f5983db2e40789366f6aab39b8
- Realised P&L
- $-120.26
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $0.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Korb3n Team vs Stariy bog Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Group B · Korb3n Team | 0.490 | 0.270 | $0.80 | −$0.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.11at 0.037Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 8-14?
- +$15.39at 0.690Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
- +$12.14at 0.450Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$10.37at 0.108Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
- +$6.92at 0.810Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 10:26 | Dota 2: Korb3n Team vs Stariy bog Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Group B | BUY | 0.4899999459 | $1.45 |
| 09-11 19:20 | Colorado Rockies vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.5599997907 | $1.07 |
| 04-29 17:07 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | BUY | 0.4299999926 | $9.84 |
| 04-11 11:19 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.024 | $1.11 |
| 04-11 11:18 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 04-10 16:26 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 10:57 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.0469999599 | $1.10 |
| 03-13 10:57 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.1399999058 | $1.10 |
| 01-29 20:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30? | BUY | 0.28 | $4.31 |
| 01-28 18:59 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.143 | $1.10 |
| 01-28 18:59 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.212 | $1.06 |
| 01-28 18:59 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.289 | $1.44 |
| 01-27 20:10 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.22 | $3.01 |
| 01-15 16:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | SELL | 0.997 | $14.97 |
| 01-14 17:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15? | BUY | 0.6 | $9.01 |