0x618AD0bbFaf8BaE67bb15316c22749be58a3Bfa7-1774163971992
0x618ad0bbfaf8bae67bb15316c22749be58a3bfa7
- Realised P&L
- $258.34
- Volume
- $14.3k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $441.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $60 in November? · No | 0.920 | 0.960 | $288.00 | +$12.00 |
| Will Solana dip to $70 in November? · No | 0.850 | 0.885 | $88.50 | +$3.50 |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in November? · No | 0.680 | 0.655 | $65.49 | −$2.50 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? · Yes | 0.319 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.70 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.40at 0.186Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
- +$58.50at 0.746Will XRP dip to $1.20 in September?
- +$46.00at 0.770Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?
- +$41.08at 0.879Will Solana dip to $60 in July?
- +$34.00at 0.830Will Solana dip to $60 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 15:51 | Will Solana dip to $70 in September? | BUY | 0.97 | $281.30 |
| 06-18 17:52 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? | BUY | 0.986 | $69.08 |
| 06-18 17:51 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? | BUY | 0.969 | $52.27 |
| 06-03 06:35 | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | BUY | 0.959 | $95.90 |
| 06-03 06:35 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.982 | $98.29 |
| 06-03 06:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 06-03 06:27 | Will XRP dip to $0.40 in June? | BUY | 0.993 | $99.30 |
| 06-03 06:25 | Will Solana dip to $30 in June? | BUY | 0.993 | $496.74 |
| 06-03 06:24 | Will Solana dip to $40 in June? | BUY | 0.982 | $5.06 |
| 04-29 15:20 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $5.70 |
| 04-29 05:17 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $26.22 |