PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DrunkSanta

0x618695c2a277628ae2b4d1b15af9edb018406816

Realised P&L
$-463.85
Volume
$58.6k
Markets traded
131
Open portfolio
$16.41

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded131
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.1600.125$16.41$4.59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$10.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$20.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5570.000$0.00$9.73
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00$20.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1950.000$0.00$19.10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$9.83
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00$17.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 10:41Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?BUY0.16$21.00
09-13 10:41Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.06$20.67
08-28 02:40Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999975$31.00
07-15 07:52Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1949999937$19.10
07-14 18:54France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5575000321$9.73
07-14 11:17France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.58$48.17
07-14 10:59France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5899999983$49.00
06-15 10:05Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.27$34.84
06-15 08:45Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3099999948$40.00
06-15 08:45Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0493046564$10.00
06-13 14:49Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.28$42.42
06-13 14:49Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?SELL0.022$8.80
06-12 09:48Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3299999967$50.00
06-11 18:28Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?BUY0.05$20.00
06-11 09:46Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1089999948$17.89