0x617e275e13ac558e05a226d5cd1168c270d6ad0f
0x617e275e13ac558e05a226d5cd1168c270d6ad0f
- Realised P&L
- $-5.12
- Volume
- $66.06
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $1.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.835 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? · No | 0.460 | 0.075 | $0.16 | −$0.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.10at 0.329Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$1.61at 0.389Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.25at 0.450Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$0.89at 0.530US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$0.68at 0.600Will Warsh say "Regime" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 23:47 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 02:23 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:35 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:37 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 09:58 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 00:32 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 00:57 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 09:30 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 14:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 10:00 | Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.7089999121 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 13:50 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 05:47 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 21:45 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $97.50 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 13:31 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |