PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x617e275e13ac558e05a226d5cd1168c270d6ad0f

0x617e275e13ac558e05a226d5cd1168c270d6ad0f

Realised P&L
$-5.12
Volume
$66.06
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$1.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.6800.835$1.23+$0.23
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? · No0.4600.075$0.16−$0.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 23:47Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-03 02:23Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-01 08:35Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
09-26 07:53Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.7799995632$1.00
09-26 07:37Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-23 09:58Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
09-23 00:32Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-19 00:57Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.64$1.00
09-09 09:30US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.4$1.00
09-07 14:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.5299998781$1.00
09-01 10:00Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?BUY0.7089999121$1.00
08-31 13:50Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
08-31 05:47Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
08-30 21:45Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $97.50 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
08-30 13:31Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.29999982$1.00