0x6172FC610e27C26FE69F7656189fAB56aaeaF63f-1777927494462
0x6172fc610e27c26fe69f7656189fab56aaeaf63f
- Realised P&L
- $-511.35
- Volume
- $28.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,163
- Open portfolio
- $14.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,163
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.58at 0.480Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 3?
- +$8.64at 0.646Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
- +$8.31at 0.340Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 30?
- +$8.18at 0.627Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
- +$7.61at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 14:21 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | SELL | 0.25 | $7.50 |
| 09-24 10:56 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | SELL | 0.68 | $20.40 |
| 09-24 10:36 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | SELL | 0.28 | $8.40 |
| 09-24 08:59 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | SELL | 0.31 | $9.30 |
| 09-23 21:09 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | SELL | 0.4780645161 | $29.64 |
| 09-23 20:49 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | SELL | 0.46 | $14.26 |
| 09-22 08:48 | Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 08:12 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.82 |
| 09-21 21:36 | Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $15.38 |
| 09-17 10:25 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.43 | $9.89 |
| 09-17 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.48 | $7.61 |
| 09-17 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-17 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.35 | $8.05 |
| 09-16 23:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.51 | $6.40 |
| 09-16 23:40 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.53 | $2.43 |