tsilvestri
0x616bec63a2ca2ef9c624dcb9dc0df7989f95cf7b
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $341.13
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $14.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.520 | $7.44 | −$0.14 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · No | 0.280 | 0.255 | $5.68 | −$0.56 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 5-11? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.004 | $1.37 | −$18.62 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 22:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.0656388059 | $19.99 |
| 10-11 06:13 | Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.5299999923 | $7.58 |
| 10-10 12:12 | Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.279999991 | $6.24 |