PolyBot

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Traders

banakole

0x616b8e1d19f235ca67dc0738e0635b07ccf94070

Realised P&L
$-750.00
Volume
$106.7k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will anyone say "Recession" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call? · Yes0.2510.000$0.00$120.00
Will anyone say "Squid Game" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call? · No0.0700.000$0.00$20.00
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in June? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump say "Kurd" or "Kurdish" during events with Turkish president on September 25? · Yes0.3350.000$0.00$150.00
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July? · No0.4520.000$0.00$150.00
Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference? · Yes0.4050.000$0.00$333.71
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2230.000$0.00$678.00
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $67m? · No0.0150.000$0.00$9.28
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22? · No0.2680.000$0.00$62.30
Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during Australia PM events on October 20? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00$28.71
Will JD Vance say "God" 3+ times during remarks in NC on September 24? · No0.3720.000$0.00$139.13
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" 7+ times during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18? · Yes0.2120.000$0.00$15.00
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10? · Yes0.6010.000$0.00$66.49
Will JD Vance say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 10+ times during remarks in NC on September 24? · Yes0.3170.000$0.00$90.00
Will Netanyahu say "Iran" 25+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$101.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:31Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?SELL0.002051087$2.72
09-17 14:19Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?SELL0.1648765759$329.56
09-15 22:50Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?BUY0.3281203808$655.85
08-29 20:02Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?BUY0.3555823333$471.70
08-20 14:50Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?BUY0.4522396254$696.98
08-05 15:12US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.22$286.00
08-02 07:27US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.2251251968$392.00
07-30 08:47US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.08$207.00
07-30 08:41Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?SELL0.176352174$212.69
07-29 17:38Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?BUY0.4053612606$333.71
07-29 13:02Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.3316509369$400.00
07-29 12:33US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.4102205402$753.33
07-27 18:41US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.5652343154$1.0k
07-26 14:55US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?SELL0.5024809193$1.2k
07-24 11:10US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUY0.2$214.31