ashishui
0x6161740411c079f743470d678ade504d610f8ad9
- Realised P&L
- $4.3k
- Volume
- $12.60M
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $29.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.006 | $20.53 | −$7.86 |
| Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.005 | $5.49 | −$5.49 |
| Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.032 | $2.69 | +$2.52 |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.003 | $0.30 | +$0.10 |
| Will CF Montréal win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$0.23 |
| Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.005 | $0.01 | −$0.01 |
| Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.06 |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$81.58 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$343.31at 0.003Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
- +$303.26at 0.005Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$292.90at 0.004Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?
- +$222.49at 0.004Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?
- +$201.39at 0.008Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 11:20 | Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.04 | $148.50 |
| 07-23 01:39 | Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $29.24 |
| 07-22 09:21 | Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-22 09:21 | Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-12 02:29 | Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $3.36 |
| 07-12 00:27 | Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.20 |
| 07-11 12:56 | Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.25 |
| 07-11 09:36 | Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.002958368 | $21.32 |
| 07-11 08:52 | Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.67 |
| 07-11 01:40 | Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.002 | $10.77 |
| 07-10 11:25 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.07 |
| 07-08 11:02 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.004 | $23.06 |
| 07-08 10:21 | Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $3.60 |
| 07-08 10:20 | Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $36.29 |
| 07-08 10:20 | Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.46 |