PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x614919F1Cd2e20955f84e18f320e33876F848d2c-1772310465585

0x614919f1cd2e20955f84e18f320e33876f848d2c

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$112.1k
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$5.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? · Yes0.8210.990$4.8k+$826.29
Will the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat? · Yes0.8120.940$515.02+$70.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 12:44Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?BUY0.8205067093$4.0k
09-09 13:20Will Keith Hoffmann be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?SELL0.5582029102$235.54
09-09 13:20Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?SELL0.7776028814$545.14
09-04 16:32Will Keith Hoffmann be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?BUY0.7322856429$309.00
09-04 16:32Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?BUY0.8472973495$594.00
09-04 16:32Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?BUY0.75$636.00
09-04 14:25Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?BUY0.8199999999$636.00
08-31 06:17Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?BUY0.9567871637$4.9k
08-28 15:56Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.47$397.18
08-24 14:39Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.6529999992$250.00
08-21 10:28Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.7470175221$250.00
08-20 19:22Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?BUY0.5864710842$100.00
08-20 19:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7099999998$600.00
08-06 22:36Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.941$600.00
08-06 19:12Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?BUY0.959721607$600.00