PolyBot

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Traders

Arpi

0x61471d5a98c8a4bc2e4fb28e2664b16b36341f72

Realised P&L
$3.7k
Volume
$87.5k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$76.41

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)67.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO article 5 before 2027? · Yes0.0840.053$76.41$43.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 14:14NATO article 5 before 2027?BUY0.0835210141$50.00
08-29 13:36NATO article 5 before 2027?BUY0.0843836079$70.00
06-01 10:36Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?SELL0.9645738$578.74
05-16 11:15Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.71$142.00
05-16 11:14Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?BUY0.71$426.00
05-16 11:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.7$1.0k
05-16 06:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.71$3.7k
05-16 06:49Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?SELL0.93$3.7k
04-18 19:24Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?BUY0.93$3.7k
04-12 19:12Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?BUY0.92$2.1k
04-12 19:12Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.978$1.0k
04-12 19:12Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?SELL0.91$2.4k
03-09 22:42Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.6100901418$330.97
03-09 22:42Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.6104990792$672.42
02-09 07:45Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.5599999999$920.60