Fisher67
0x61458d1aa165d5b7dd92b6e8fc9afa90b47d1094
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $91.8k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $91.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.600 | 0.375 | $75.00 | −$45.00 |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 20? · Yes | 0.226 | 0.345 | $16.57 | +$5.70 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up | 0.344 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.00 |
| Bengals vs. Texans · Texans | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bengals vs. Texans: O/U 45.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.83at 0.382Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$52.47at 0.660C.J. Stroud: Passing Yards O/U 199.5
- +$26.05at 0.661Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
- +$15.03at 0.642Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$2.14at 0.6202026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 13:09 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.65 | $65.00 |
| 09-22 13:09 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $78.00 |
| 09-22 13:07 | Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $10.49 |
| 09-22 13:07 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.30 |
| 09-22 13:06 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 09-21 05:24 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0337630744 | $207.02 |
| 09-21 05:24 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | SELL | 0.0396276742 | $478.84 |
| 09-21 05:24 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.0165844861 | $299.17 |
| 09-21 05:23 | Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? | SELL | 0.0657279226 | $212.01 |
| 09-20 17:43 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.045 | $52.47 |
| 09-20 17:42 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.044 | $17.54 |
| 09-20 17:19 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.042 | $0.50 |
| 09-20 17:18 | Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.253 | $3.40 |
| 09-20 17:18 | Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.252 | $5.65 |
| 09-20 16:18 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.118 | $5.90 |