Roy2026
0x6140c683b1343ae28f8709f39ef916ebd36ebf64
- Realised P&L
- $-53.47
- Volume
- $9.6k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $16.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.018 | $7.14 | −$1.59 |
| Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.017 | $3.26 | −$1.53 |
| Will New York Giants win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.027 | $3.02 | −$0.34 |
| Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.011 | $2.25 | −$6.17 |
| Will Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.004 | $0.53 | −$2.17 |
| Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.73 |
| Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.46 |
| Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.21 |
| Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.63 |
| Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.88at 0.592Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 16?
- +$0.86at 0.029Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$0.47at 0.904Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on April 15?
- +$0.05at 0.017Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$-0.10at 0.005Will Onyeka Okongwu win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 03:59 | Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.68 |
| 04-20 07:57 | Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.0206699507 | $0.29 |
| 04-18 02:37 | Will T.J. McConnell win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.15 |
| 04-18 02:34 | Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.031 | $6.67 |
| 04-18 02:34 | Will Miles McBride win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year? | SELL | 0.0014450774 | $0.32 |
| 04-17 12:02 | Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.033 | $2.90 |
| 04-17 09:02 | Will Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | BUY | 0.018 | $2.70 |
| 04-17 06:32 | Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.99 |
| 04-17 03:46 | Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.034 | $4.53 |
| 04-17 03:18 | Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.45 |
| 04-17 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.46 |
| 04-16 18:12 | Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.02 | $3.10 |
| 04-16 17:23 | Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.02 | $6.19 |
| 04-16 15:54 | Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.031 | $6.66 |
| 04-16 11:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $0.97 |