PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fitzgeralddebra

0x6138395bb113d3cac77ae57fe49307a533c9436d

Realised P&L
$-60.61
Volume
$24.4k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$48.16

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Miami FL have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · O 10.50.6900.695$19.38+$0.14
UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims) · Ismail Naurdiev0.5700.555$17.88−$0.48
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes0.5200.495$10.91−$0.55
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves · No0.6300.000$0.00−$16.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 11:45Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.8199999948$15.77
01-31 13:45Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.9839999994$12.82
01-30 15:04Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in January?BUY0.995$19.54
01-30 13:27Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January?BUY0.999$37.77
01-30 12:55Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.999$38.90
12-30 08:38Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?BUY0.999$14.32
12-30 00:02Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025?BUY0.999$16.56
12-29 23:32Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.9956375803$41.21
12-29 19:29Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.9969999999$36.50
10-31 15:30Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?BUY0.997$12.38
10-30 17:58Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.997$34.66
09-29 13:47Will Trump sue Powell by September 30?BUY0.9979999524$10.11
09-29 09:11Will Google have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.9869999996$13.87
09-29 04:56Will Solana dip to $150 in September?BUY0.999$16.68
09-29 04:20Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$19.97