fitzgeralddebra
0x6138395bb113d3cac77ae57fe49307a533c9436d
- Realised P&L
- $-60.61
- Volume
- $24.4k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $48.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Miami FL have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · O 10.5 | 0.690 | 0.695 | $19.38 | +$0.14 |
| UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims) · Ismail Naurdiev | 0.570 | 0.555 | $17.88 | −$0.48 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.495 | $10.91 | −$0.55 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves · No | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.09at 0.620South Africa and Zimbabwe Tour of Namibia T20s: Namibia vs Zimbabwe
- +$7.86at 0.730Cavaliers vs. Lakers
- +$4.54at 0.840Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 7?
- +$3.35at 0.826Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
- +$2.07at 0.670Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 11:45 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.8199999948 | $15.77 |
| 01-31 13:45 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9839999994 | $12.82 |
| 01-30 15:04 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.54 |
| 01-30 13:27 | Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.77 |
| 01-30 12:55 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.90 |
| 12-30 08:38 | Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.32 |
| 12-30 00:02 | Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.56 |
| 12-29 23:32 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9956375803 | $41.21 |
| 12-29 19:29 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $36.50 |
| 10-31 15:30 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $12.38 |
| 10-30 17:58 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $34.66 |
| 09-29 13:47 | Will Trump sue Powell by September 30? | BUY | 0.9979999524 | $10.11 |
| 09-29 09:11 | Will Google have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9869999996 | $13.87 |
| 09-29 04:56 | Will Solana dip to $150 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.68 |
| 09-29 04:20 | Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.97 |