Justin007
0x613637a4dc48fe4ac1618e2bd19458f2332f5dcd
- Realised P&L
- $-5.9k
- Volume
- $114.7k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $543.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.528 | 0.515 | $515.50 | −$12.75 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.145 | $27.78 | −$112.06 |
| Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? · No | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$121.53 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 15? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 30? · Yes | 0.404 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.447India military action against Pakistan before June?
- +$1.5kat 0.567Maduro mugshot released by January 9?
- +$1.4kat 0.778Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$761.85at 0.680US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$703.43at 0.719Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 17:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 30? | BUY | 0.404208022 | $500.00 |
| 08-08 15:46 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $21.00 |
| 07-30 19:52 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5260391859 | $232.10 |
| 07-28 20:40 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $440.00 |
| 07-26 07:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $310.00 |
| 06-25 17:32 | SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | BUY | 0.6571125 | $78.85 |
| 06-25 17:15 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $151.70 |
| 06-25 14:52 | SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | BUY | 0.62 | $54.75 |
| 06-25 11:49 | SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | BUY | 0.55 | $33.00 |
| 06-10 10:16 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $417.21 |
| 05-13 19:56 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 15? | BUY | 0.0247497966 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 19:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 15? | BUY | 0.0458244739 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 19:21 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $39.68 |
| 05-11 19:19 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.81 | $70.03 |
| 04-14 14:11 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.7653287861 | $574.49 |