0x612e291ba6f0b7b9bfb63ea18075e81dd01bc0b7
0x612e291ba6f0b7b9bfb63ea18075e81dd01bc0b7
- Realised P&L
- $-323.79
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $203.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31? · Yes | 0.870 | 1.000 | $68.97 | +$8.97 |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27? · Yes | 0.730 | 1.000 | $54.79 | +$14.79 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.845 | $42.25 | +$2.25 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.790 | 1.000 | $37.97 | +$7.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.75at 0.337Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$38.74at 0.491Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?
- +$34.76at 0.606Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
- +$27.15at 0.443Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$26.07at 0.671Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 00:42 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 10-26 00:41 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.7899999947 | $30.00 |
| 10-26 00:40 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.8699999993 | $60.00 |
| 10-26 00:38 | Will San Diego Wave FC win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $30.00 |
| 10-26 00:35 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27? | BUY | 0.7299999974 | $40.00 |
| 10-23 23:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $30.94 |
| 10-23 23:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $30.00 |
| 10-23 23:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $40.00 |
| 10-23 23:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999984 | $30.00 |
| 10-23 23:32 | North Carolina Central vs. Delaware State | BUY | 0.9419953918 | $40.00 |
| 10-22 19:18 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.6899999957 | $35.00 |
| 10-22 19:16 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.5999999966 | $35.00 |
| 10-22 19:15 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-22? | BUY | 0.4399999975 | $35.00 |
| 10-22 19:14 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.4599999971 | $35.00 |
| 10-21 17:18 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |