0x612af773edf9cc55b513ff21b23de3c1f3936598
0x612af773edf9cc55b513ff21b23de3c1f3936598
- Realised P&L
- $-0.91
- Volume
- $9.35
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $4.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 29? · No | 0.950 | 0.977 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29? · No | 0.960 | 0.968 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 28? · No | 0.960 | 0.965 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,550 on September 28? · No | 0.970 | 0.955 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| XRP Up or Down on September 24? · Down | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.03at 0.972Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12AM ET
- +$0.03at 0.972BNB Up or Down - September 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
- +$0.03at 0.972Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
- +$0.02at 0.982XRP Up or Down - September 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,550 on September 28? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 03:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 10:15 | XRP Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 10:01 | XRP Up or Down - September 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 09:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 09:30 | BNB Up or Down - September 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |