PolyBot

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Traders

Fiskantes

0x612a7b083170a5e0568839cd179e0c2a0524fee9

Realised P&L
$-7.0k
Volume
$649.8k
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · Yes0.4630.063$1.1k$7.4k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.5750.065$558.67$4.4k
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3000.075$125.00$375.00
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1600.040$98.75$301.25
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? · No0.2200.000$0.00$220.00
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31? · No0.7210.000$0.00$2.0k
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$87.00
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$797.44
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$201.60
Football.Fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$243.00
TikTok sale announced in 2025? · No0.2670.000$0.00$1.3k
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$8.00
Will another player win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris? · Yes0.1290.000$0.00$100.00
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$75.00
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-14 19:46US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?BUY0.53$132.51
01-14 19:46US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?BUY0.53$132.51
01-14 19:46US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?BUY0.53$169.05
01-14 19:45Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.6$2.6k
01-14 19:44Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.59$1.6k
01-14 19:44Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.5054649231$1.3k
01-14 19:42US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?BUY0.28$10.64
01-14 19:42US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?BUY0.28$42.00
01-14 19:41US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?BUY0.28$56.00
01-14 19:41US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?BUY0.28$32.39
01-14 19:40US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?BUY0.62$1.2k
01-14 19:40US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?BUY0.28$270.62
01-14 13:30Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.299$128.09
01-14 13:28Football.Fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.2899447514$262.40
01-14 13:27Football.Fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.09$243.00