0x6120f232678c5a79f2af057b34100f2B5c3BB06a-1767832584697
0x6120f232678c5a79f2af057b34100f2b5c3bb06a
- Realised P&L
- $-54.31
- Volume
- $10.3k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $5.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.065 | $4.41 | −$14.59 |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.040 | $0.80 | −$1.60 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Down | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET · Down | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET · Down | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Up | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.84 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET · Up | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.36at 0.660Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$9.70at 0.116Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.90at 0.071Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
- +$1.49at 0.300Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$1.10at 0.304Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 02:38 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.056778197 | $3.84 |
| 05-11 22:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $2.00 |
| 05-11 22:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 22:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 22:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | SELL | 0.64 | $2.20 |
| 05-11 22:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 22:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 21:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 21:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.18 |
| 05-11 21:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 21:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 21:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 21:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | SELL | 0.83 | $2.12 |
| 05-11 21:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 21:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | SELL | 0.86 | $1.75 |