PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Varil

0x611f56fb8b2852cd7865b6f1ff645ed8291dec74

Realised P&L
$673.47
Volume
$1.87M
Markets traded
2,158
Open portfolio
$495.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,158
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration2.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 20? · No0.9991.000$5.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 20? · No0.9991.000$5.00+$0.00
Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on September 20? · No0.9991.000$5.00+$0.00
Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on September 20? · No0.9991.000$5.00+$0.00
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 17°C on September 20? · No0.9991.000$5.00+$0.00
Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on September 20? · No0.9991.000$5.00+$0.00
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be 76°F or higher on September 20? · No0.9991.000$5.00+$0.00
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 20? · No0.9991.000$5.00+$0.00
Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 20? · No0.9991.000$5.00+$0.00
Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on September 20? · No0.9991.000$5.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 20? · No0.9991.000$5.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 20? · No0.9991.000$5.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 20? · No0.9991.000$5.00+$0.00
Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 20? · No0.9991.000$5.00+$0.00
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20? · No0.9991.000$5.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 15:06Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?BUY0.999$1.02
09-20 15:06Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 21?BUY0.999$5.00
09-20 15:06Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 21?BUY0.999$5.00
09-20 15:05Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 23°C or higher on September 21?BUY0.999$5.00
09-20 15:05Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 22°C on September 21?BUY0.999$5.00
09-20 15:05Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 21°C on September 21?BUY0.999$5.00
09-20 14:55Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 20?BUY0.999$5.00
09-20 14:06Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 20?BUY0.999$5.00
09-20 14:04Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 20?BUY0.999$5.00
09-20 13:35Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 20?BUY0.999$5.00
09-20 13:34Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on September 21?BUY0.999$5.00
09-20 13:04Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on September 21?BUY0.999$5.00
09-20 12:56Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on September 20?BUY0.999$5.00
09-20 12:56Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.999$5.00
09-20 12:32Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 20?BUY0.999$5.00