0x611B17349FEFef6715f841f0058435600fcD9841-1722654233037
0x611b17349fefef6715f841f0058435600fcd9841
- Realised P&L
- $84.60
- Volume
- $52.8k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $227.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.026 | $162.01 | −$11.19 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.064 | $65.56 | −$134.44 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$533.90 |
| Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31? · No | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Crude Oil all time high by March 31? · Yes | 0.198 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$755.29at 0.394Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
- +$-188.35at 0.225Maduro out in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-15 19:55 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1975788685 | $100.00 |
| 03-15 19:38 | Crude Oil all time high by March 31? | BUY | 0.1984005739 | $500.00 |
| 03-15 19:35 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $100.00 |
| 02-27 22:33 | Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $50.00 |
| 01-18 23:13 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.0284154868 | $100.00 |
| 01-15 01:40 | Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.0746879409 | $500.00 |
| 12-12 23:35 | Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.011 | $26.40 |
| 12-05 14:04 | Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.0355769626 | $200.00 |
| 12-05 13:56 | Maduro out in 2025? | SELL | 0.14 | $311.65 |
| 11-29 16:08 | Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3937763497 | $490.60 |
| 11-29 16:06 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.2246093747 | $500.00 |