krajic18
0x61124edbd860b52672e48c1eddfab7d099741ae7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $19.1k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $614.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno? · Yes | 0.836 | 0.966 | $469.98 | +$63.43 |
| Will Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno? · No | 0.740 | 0.983 | $132.73 | +$32.73 |
| Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague? · Yes | 0.414 | 0.029 | $12.18 | −$161.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$179.90at 0.915Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
- +$125.42at 0.264Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?
- +$60.61at 0.767Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
- +$18.24at 0.970Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?
- +$8.96at 0.580Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 17:01 | Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague? | BUY | 0.1121500568 | $20.00 |
| 10-10 16:52 | Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague? | SELL | 0.0530149022 | $12.31 |
| 10-10 16:34 | Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague? | SELL | 0.1493378907 | $65.32 |
| 10-10 16:33 | Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague? | SELL | 0.81 | $32.40 |
| 10-10 16:32 | Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague? | SELL | 0.140226 | $14.02 |
| 10-10 16:26 | Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague? | BUY | 0.57 | $22.80 |
| 10-10 15:51 | Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague? | BUY | 0.708050435 | $100.00 |
| 10-10 15:48 | Will Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno? | BUY | 0.904058732 | $200.00 |
| 10-10 15:35 | Will Adam Scheinherr be the next Mayor of Prague? | SELL | 0.0467542995 | $8.54 |
| 10-10 14:56 | Will Adam Scheinherr be the next Mayor of Prague? | BUY | 0.109539315 | $20.00 |
| 10-10 14:42 | Will Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno? | BUY | 0.8639582525 | $100.00 |
| 10-10 14:41 | Will Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno? | BUY | 0.7402234942 | $100.00 |
| 10-10 14:41 | Will Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno? | BUY | 0.7090243032 | $100.00 |
| 04-13 16:31 | Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9701207833 | $1000.00 |
| 04-12 21:38 | Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%? | SELL | 0.8216091667 | $49.30 |