WarhammerTau1
0x610d26f6ccc0bd210029fcb0e5e91fd37aac2977
- Realised P&L
- $-4.44
- Volume
- $222.36
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $29.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.990 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.10 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in October? · Yes | 0.990 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.10 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $155 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.01 |
| Solana Up or Down - October 19, 3AM ET · Up | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.60 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.09at 0.708Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5AM ET
- +$5.93at 0.460WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 16?
- +$2.76at 0.724Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2PM ET
- +$0.20at 0.990Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 101.80 Week of October 12 2026?
- +$0.10at 0.990Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of October 12 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 17:26 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $155 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-19 22:31 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $57 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 10-19 09:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.6929999897 | $28.68 |
| 10-19 07:31 | Solana Up or Down - October 19, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.59 | $23.60 |
| 10-17 08:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 10-16 20:41 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 16? | BUY | 0.4499999909 | $4.94 |
| 10-16 20:00 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-16 18:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 10-16 12:20 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |