PolyBot

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Traders

vulden

0x6102ad98aa7c373cf7d2e20fd17a4812ab6c702c

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$23.4k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$426.51

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.045$425.44$708.46
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026? · Yes0.1300.035$1.08$2.92
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$15.00
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$25.80
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting? · No0.3900.000$0.00$120.90
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$15.00
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$227.38
Adelaide International: Kimberly Birrell vs Jaqueline Cristian · Cristian0.6200.000$0.00$10.00
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$35.00
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$5.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 23:43Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.017$3.40
07-03 23:41Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.017$1.70
07-03 23:39Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$174.90
07-03 23:36Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.39$120.90
04-01 16:35Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0459081824$35.00
04-01 16:34Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?BUY0.1$15.00
04-01 16:34Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?BUY0.032$20.00
03-26 07:15Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?BUY0.129999975$4.00
03-23 09:10Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?SELL0.1366305489$153.59
03-23 09:09Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?SELL0.005$4.00
02-05 09:02Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.1$20.81
02-05 09:02Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?BUY0.25$120.00
01-30 06:27Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?BUY0.3$13.23
01-30 06:26US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?SELL0.1$8.70
01-23 07:13US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.2299999931$20.00