davidjones
0x60ff24c51d5a5aec7e0fe880bee6667e3d4c8768
- Realised P&L
- $-12.57
- Volume
- $13.8k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $71.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? · No | 0.740 | 0.745 | $24.77 | +$0.17 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 30? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.850 | $20.32 | +$0.00 |
| Will Nasiphi Moya be the next mayor of Tshwane? · No | 0.790 | 0.815 | $16.89 | +$0.52 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? · No | 0.931 | 0.991 | $10.01 | +$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.32at 0.998Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?
- +$6.20at 0.810Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.47at 0.732Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$0.26at 0.983Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$0.14at 0.996Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 04:20 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? | BUY | 0.9309999434 | $9.41 |
| 01-31 13:22 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.72 |
| 01-31 13:21 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9829999995 | $15.01 |
| 01-30 14:47 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.90 |
| 01-30 14:41 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $23.08 |
| 01-30 11:58 | Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.02 |
| 12-30 11:08 | Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.53 |
| 12-30 09:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999991 | $4.49 |
| 12-30 09:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.78 |
| 12-30 08:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $25.90 |
| 12-29 19:41 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $30.71 |
| 12-29 19:25 | Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.25 |
| 10-31 15:46 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.90 |
| 10-31 15:01 | Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $22.54 |
| 10-30 17:37 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.70 |