PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

davidjones

0x60ff24c51d5a5aec7e0fe880bee6667e3d4c8768

Realised P&L
$-12.57
Volume
$13.8k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$71.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? · No0.7400.745$24.77+$0.17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 30? · Yes0.8500.850$20.32+$0.00
Will Nasiphi Moya be the next mayor of Tshwane? · No0.7900.815$16.89+$0.52
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? · No0.9310.991$10.01+$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 04:20Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?BUY0.9309999434$9.41
01-31 13:22Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January?BUY0.999$4.72
01-31 13:21Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.9829999995$15.01
01-30 14:47Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.999$30.90
01-30 14:41Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in January?BUY0.995$23.08
01-30 11:58Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January?BUY0.999$31.02
12-30 11:08Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?BUY0.999$2.53
12-30 09:58Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9979999991$4.49
12-30 09:47Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.999$10.78
12-30 08:40Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9969999999$25.90
12-29 19:41Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.997$30.71
12-29 19:25Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?BUY0.999$28.25
10-31 15:46Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$27.90
10-31 15:01Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.996$22.54
10-30 17:37Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$25.70