0x60d54c8e9cb4ce806e192664ad252ada6e80f822
0x60d54c8e9cb4ce806e192664ad252ada6e80f822
- Realised P&L
- $43.82
- Volume
- $237.68
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $2.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar18.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Munetaka Murakami: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.385 | $2.03 | −$0.61 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox | 0.500 | 0.004 | $0.15 | −$19.19 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) · Cowboys | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$30.51 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.49 |
| Freddie Freeman: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
| Southern Miss Team Total: O/U 20.5 · Under | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.60 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.42 |
| Tyler Glasnow: Strikeouts O/U 6.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.08at 0.177Fernando Tatis Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.5
- +$43.24at 0.500Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres
- +$37.96at 0.500Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State: O/U 49.5
- +$12.20at 0.500Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
- +$-16.04at 0.500Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 15:15 | Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown | SELL | 0.28 | $19.87 |
| 10-07 15:32 | Freddie Freeman: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 10-07 15:30 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.17 | $9.52 |
| 10-07 15:30 | Tyler Glasnow: Strikeouts O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.4799999843 | $9.79 |
| 10-07 01:24 | Southern Miss Team Total: O/U 20.5 | BUY | 0.61 | $24.60 |