PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cc3501

0x60d2279ff4241e11b8963e79043eaf838338fba2

Realised P&L
$-527.32
Volume
$130.9k
Markets traded
241
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded241
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 2? · Yes0.9971.000$889.67+$2.45
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 2? · Yes0.9951.000$109.20+$0.49
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 2? · No0.9961.000$71.06+$0.22
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 2? · No0.9951.000$6.66+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 28? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.01
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 28? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$8.40
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 28? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 15:12Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 2?BUY0.997$33.41
10-02 15:12Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 2?BUY0.997$664.66
10-01 12:41Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 1?BUY0.997$106.33
09-28 06:44Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.98$19.60
09-28 06:44Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 28?BUY0.998$44.62
09-25 07:56Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 25?BUY0.998$11.89
09-25 07:52Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?BUY0.998$998.00
09-25 07:52Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?BUY0.998$299.40
09-23 08:19Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 23?BUY0.997$28.64
09-23 08:19Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 23?BUY0.997$664.66
09-23 08:18Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 23?BUY0.998$202.08
09-23 08:14Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 23?BUY0.99$220.01
09-23 08:03Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 23?BUY0.997$664.66
09-23 08:01Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 23?BUY0.99$31.09
09-22 05:22Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 22?BUY0.998$782.46