cc3501
0x60d2279ff4241e11b8963e79043eaf838338fba2
- Realised P&L
- $-527.32
- Volume
- $130.9k
- Markets traded
- 241
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded241
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.997 | 1.000 | $889.67 | +$2.45 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.995 | 1.000 | $109.20 | +$0.49 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 2? · No | 0.996 | 1.000 | $71.06 | +$0.22 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 2? · No | 0.995 | 1.000 | $6.66 | +$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 28? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 28? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 28? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.57at 0.805Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 5?
- +$65.71at 0.971Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 28?
- +$20.77at 0.992United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$15.55at 0.989Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?
- +$15.40at 0.989Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $33.41 |
| 10-02 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $664.66 |
| 10-01 12:41 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $106.33 |
| 09-28 06:44 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 09-28 06:44 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $44.62 |
| 09-25 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.89 |
| 09-25 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $998.00 |
| 09-25 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $299.40 |
| 09-23 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.997 | $28.64 |
| 09-23 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.997 | $664.66 |
| 09-23 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $202.08 |
| 09-23 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.99 | $220.01 |
| 09-23 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.997 | $664.66 |
| 09-23 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.99 | $31.09 |
| 09-22 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $782.46 |